China Energy Transformation Outlook 2023 (CETO 2023)
How to read CETO 2023
The full China Energy Transformation Outlook 2023 (CETO 2023) report consists of three parts.
Part I gives a brief overview of the global climate crisis and the global energy development situation in Chapter 1, focusing on recent years’ development. It also provides a status for the development of the Chinese energy system and for the energy policy in China in Chapter 2.
Part II is the modelling-based scenario analysis of the Chinese energy system transformation towards 2060. It consists of four chapters: Chapter 3 summarises the overall transition situation of the energy system, including the framework design and assumptions of the three scenarios included in the Outlook. Chapter 4 dives into the energy consumption pathways in the end-use sectors, including the industry sectors, the building sector, the transport sector, and other sectors. Chapter 5 details the analysis of the power sector based on results from the power sector model. Chapter 6 analyses the socio-economic impact of the energy transformation.
Part III includes six thematic chapters unrelated to the modelling-based scenario analysis in Part II. Chapter 7 describes the energy security policies and current situation in China. Chapter 8 analyses an overview of the latest developing progress in carbon pricing in China. Chapter 9 describes the progress related to methane emissions control globally and in China. Chapter 10 analyses trends and case studies of local and regional energy transformation. Chapter 11 summarises the energy and climate policy developments in Denmark. Chapter 12 discusses the significance of green financing to the energy transition.
The summary gives the highlights of the analyses in the Outlook report, including the key findings from the scenario analyses in Part II. The summary can be read as a separate document from the full report. The four chapters in Part II describe the overall conclusions and specific findings of the CETO scenario analyses in detail. Here, it is possible to dive into the details to understand the outlook scenario design and the detailed conclusions by sector. Each of the chapters in Part III can be read independently of the rest of the Outlook to gain insight into each topic.
Enjoy the reading! Feedback to the Outlook is most welcome. Please send your feedback to ceto2023@cet.energy.
CETO 2023 – English full report
CETO 2023阅读指南
《中国能源转型展望2023》（CETO 2023）由摘要和三大部分组成。
第一部分简要概述了全球气候危机和能源发展形势（第一章），重点阐述了近年来发展趋势，并概述了中国能源体系发展情况和政策现状（第二章）。
第二部分对2060年实现碳中和的中国能源系统转型进行了基于模型的情景分析，由四个章节构成。第三章总结了能源系统转型整体情况，包括展望提出的三个情景的框架设计及假设。第四章深入探讨了各个终端用能部门的能源消费路径，包括工业、建筑、交通和其他部门。第五章根据电力部门模型模拟结果对电力部门展开详细分析。第六章分析了能源转型的社会经济影响。
第三部分包含了未基于第二部分模型情景分析的六个热点主题章节。第七章描述了中国能源安全政策与形势，第八章分析了中国碳定价的最新进展，第九章阐述了全球和中国控制甲烷排放进展，第十章分析了中国区域能源转型相关趋势与案例，第十一章总结了丹麦的能源和气候政策发展情况，第十二章探讨了绿色金融对能源转型的重要性。
摘要部分总结了展望报告的分析要点，包括第二部分情景分析的关键发现，可作为全报告的独立摘要阅读。第二部分的四个章节详细阐述了CETO情景分析的综合结论和具体发现，读者可以全面且深入的了解展望情景的设计细节和部门的详细结论。第三部分的每个章节都可以独立阅读，便于读者了解各个主题的具体内容。
祝您阅读愉快！
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